Author: David K. Lewis
Publisher: Wiley-Blackwell
Keywords: counterfactuals
Number of Pages: 168
Published: 2001-01-24
List price: $39.95
ISBN-10: 0631224254
ISBN-13: 9780631224259

Counterfactuals is David Lewis’s forceful presentation of and sustained argument for a particular view about propositions which express contrary-to-fact conditionals, including his infamous defense of realism about possible worlds. Since its original publication in 1973, it has become a classic of contemporary philosophy, and is essential reading for anyone interested in the logic and metaphysics of counterfactuals. The book also includes an appendix of related writings by Lewis.

Author: Niall Ferguson
Publisher: Basic Books
Keywords: counterfactuals, alternatives, history, virtual
Number of Pages: 560
Published: 2000-08-21
List price: $24.95
ISBN-10: 0465023231
ISBN-13: 9780465023233

Speculative history at its best, in which a talented team of historians, led by Niall Ferguson, explore what might have happened if nine momentous events had turned out differently. What if there had been no American War of Independence? What if Hitler had invaded Britain? What if Kennedy had lived? What if Russia had won the Cold War? Niall Ferguson, author of the highly acclaimed The Pity of War, leads the charge in this historically rigorous series of separate voyages into "imaginary time" and provides far-reaching answers to these intriguing questions. Ferguson’s brilliant 90-page

Author: Richard Ned Lebow
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Keywords: relations, international, counterfactuals, fruit, forbidden
Number of Pages: 348
Published: 2010-02-07
List price: $27.95
ISBN-10: 0691132909
ISBN-13: 9780691132907

Could World War I have been averted if Franz Ferdinand and his wife hadn’t been murdered by Serbian nationalists in 1914? What if Ronald Reagan had been killed by Hinckley’s bullet? Would the Cold War have ended as it did? In Forbidden Fruit, Richard Ned Lebow develops protocols for conducting robust counterfactual thought experiments and uses them to probe the causes and contingency of transformative international developments like World War I and the end of the Cold War. He uses experiments, surveys, and a short story to explore why policymakers, historians, and international rel

Authors:John Collins, Ned Hall, L. A. Paul,
Publisher: The MIT Pre
Keywords: mind, representation, counterfactuals, causation
Number of Pages: 491
Published: 2004-06-01
List price: $45.00
ISBN-10: 0262532565
ISBN-13: 9780262532563

One philosophical approach to causation sees counterfactual dependence as the key to the explanation of causal facts: for example, events c (the cause) and e (the effect) both occur, but had c not occurred, e would not have occurred either. The counterfactual analysis of causation became a focus of philosophical debate after the 1973 publication of the late David Lewis’s groundbreaking paper, "Causation," which argues against the previously accepted "regularity" analysis and in favor of what he called the "promising alternative" of the counterfactual analysis. Thirty years after Lewis

Authors:Jack Levy, Gary Goertz,
Publisher: Routledge
Keywords: studies, counterfactuals, contemporary, security, condition, necessary, peace, case, explaining, war
Number of Pages: 368
Published: 2007-07-18
List price: $44.95
ISBN-10: 0415422337
ISBN-13: 9780415422338

This edited volume focuses on the use of ‘necessary condition counterfactuals’ in explaining two key events in twentieth century history, the origins of the First World War and the end of the Cold War. Containing essays by leading figures in the field, this book analyzes the causal logics of necessary and sufficient conditions, demonstrates the variety of different ways in which necessary condition counterfactuals are used to explain the causes of individual events, and identifies errors commonly made in applying this form of causal logic to individual events. It includes discussions of

Authors:Stephen L. Morgan, Christopher Winshi,
Publisher: Cambridge University Pre
Keywords: research, social, methods, analytical, causal, inference, principles, counterfactuals
Number of Pages: 328
Published: 2007-07-30
List price: $28.99
ISBN-10: 0521671930
ISBN-13: 9780521671934

Did mandatory busing programs in the 1970s increase the school achievement of disadvantaged minority youth? Does obtaining a college degree increase an individual’s labor market earnings? Did the use of a butterfly ballot in some Florida counties in the 2000 presidential election cost Al Gore votes? Simple cause-and-effect questions such as these are the motivation for much empirical work in the social sciences. In this book, the counterfactual model of causality for observational data analysis is presented, and methods for causal effect estimation are demonstrated using examples from so

Authors:Stephen L. Morgan, Christopher Winship,
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Keywords: research, social, methods, analytical, causal, inference, principles, counterfactuals
Number of Pages: 334
Published: 2007-07-30
List price: $87.99
ISBN-10: 0521856159
ISBN-13: 9780521856157

Did mandatory busing programs in the 1970s increase the school achievement of disadvantaged minority youth? Does obtaining a college degree increase an individual’s labor market earnings? Did the use of a butterfly ballot in some Florida counties in the 2000 presidential election cost Al Gore votes? Simple cause-and-effect questions such as these are the motivation for much empirical work in the social sciences. In this book, the counterfactual model of causality for observational data analysis is presented, and methods for causal effect estimation are demonstrated using examples fro